Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.331471 0.357140 0.384620 0.416358 0.452173 0.491531 0.538326
2025-02-02 0.291326 0.330941 0.376945 0.435071 0.507671 0.596935 0.717603
2025-02-09 0.256579 0.302679 0.359493 0.436411 0.540765 0.682222 0.897968
2025-02-16 0.227592 0.275818 0.337880 0.426406 0.554623 0.743181 1.063610
2025-02-23 0.209075 0.259186 0.326100 0.426036 0.579692 0.824020 1.287904
2025-03-02 0.192262 0.242526 0.311600 0.418612 0.591447 0.885371 1.503152
2025-03-09 0.178083 0.227857 0.297895 0.409805 0.598420 0.939153 1.728311
2025-03-16 0.166485 0.215657 0.286295 0.402305 0.605574 0.994309 1.986358
2025-03-23 0.160673 0.211142 0.285431 0.411524 0.643274 1.119961 2.509181
2025-03-30 0.152157 0.201933 0.276448 0.405892 0.652137 1.187017 2.921323
2025-04-06 0.141810 0.189292 0.261081 0.387522 0.633121 1.184957 3.103595
2025-04-13 0.132536 0.177745 0.246654 0.369409 0.612016 1.172982 3.247011
2025-04-20 0.128447 0.174155 0.245156 0.375078 0.642793 1.307376 4.198674
2025-04-27 0.126885 0.174449 0.250153 0.393640 0.706408 1.565007 6.414992
2025-05-04 0.122424 0.169884 0.246670 0.395751 0.733826 1.733656 8.793310
2025-05-11 0.116623 0.162823 0.238377 0.387439 0.734686 1.817041 10.940897
2025-05-18 0.112618 0.158427 0.234360 0.387244 0.755957 1.988793 15.599542
2025-05-25 0.108004 0.152770 0.227706 0.380847 0.759868 2.097966 20.929879
2025-06-01 0.103572 0.147186 0.220807 0.373210 0.759044 2.189613 28.111109
2025-06-08 0.099630 0.142227 0.214719 0.366689 0.760188 2.294176 39.934673
2025-06-15 0.097965 0.140992 0.215304 0.374713 0.805118 2.654430 103.433790
2025-06-22 0.094712 0.136899 0.210331 0.369814 0.810404 2.811938 220.547963
2025-06-29 0.090240 0.130546 0.200815 0.353804 0.778404 2.729474 256.967048